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Image by Cosmin Andrei Buzamat

Since early 2024, we have invested in the development of a provincial wildfire threat dataset and we are excited to unveil this over the next year.

BurnP3+ Provincial Wildfire Threat Mapping

Forest Fire Smoke

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Burn Probability

Burn probability is calculated as the number of times a cell burns, divided by the number of iterations (fire seasons) in the model. Burn probability maps tell you about the likelihood of fire in any given season. In other words, it is how flammable any area is in comparison to the areas around it.

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By understanding the areas with high likelihood of burning, we can then prioritize and plan mitigation. If you'd like to know more, or have access to more detailed burn probability information, we want to hear from you!

Disclaimer

The above map is a representation of possible wildfire threat and is not intended to tell you the answer or tell you where or how a current wildfire will burn. It is meant to portray the likelihood of wildfire occurrence and spread. This information needs to be used in consultation with one of our professional foresters at Frontera.

Additional Resources

Find out about our other provincial wildfire datasets

Contact us

Learn how we developed this data

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See our webinar on this topic

Watch webinar

Additional Resources

Take a look at our BC Wildfire Threat Modelling presentation for an overview of wildfire modelling in BC, and an in-depth look at Frontera's work with BurnP3+.

Watch BC Wildfire Threat Modelling: Introducing a new Provincial Dataset – the first webinar of our two-part series discussing wildfire modelling in BC and introducing BurnP3+.

To learn more about our newly developed provincial wildfire dataset, send us an email inquiry. Our expert team will reach out to discuss how it could be used for your community.

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